Download e-book for iPad: Chance Encounters: Probability in Education by Ramesh Kapadia, Manfred Borovcnik (auth.), Ramesh Kapadia,

By Ramesh Kapadia, Manfred Borovcnik (auth.), Ramesh Kapadia, Manfred Borovcnik (eds.)

ISBN-10: 9401055637

ISBN-13: 9789401055635

ISBN-10: 9401135320

ISBN-13: 9789401135320

This ebook has been written to fIll a considerable hole within the present literature in mathemat­ ical schooling. during the global, university mathematical curricula have included chance and facts as new subject matters. there were many examine papers written on particular features of training, featuring novel and strange techniques to introducing rules within the lecture room; even though, there was no ebook giving an outline. the following we have now determined to target chance, making connection with inferential records the place applicable; we've intentionally shunned descriptive facts because it is a separate quarter and may have made principles much less coherent and the e-book excessively lengthy. A common lead has been taken from the 1st publication during this sequence written by means of the guy who, most likely greater than everybody else, has verified mathematical schooling as an aca­ demic self-discipline. even though, in his exposition of didactical phenomenology, Freudenthal doesn't study chance. hence, during this ebook, we express how likelihood is ready to set up the area of likelihood and idealized likelihood phenomena in accordance with its improvement and purposes. In getting ready those chapters we and our co-authors have mirrored on our personal acquisition of probabilistic principles, analyzed textbooks, and saw and mirror­ ed upon the training methods concerned while little ones and adults fight to procure the appropriate concepts.

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Additional resources for Chance Encounters: Probability in Education

Example text

D. Huntley, G. Kaiser-Messmer, and L. ), Applications and Modelling in Learning and Teaching Mathematics, Ellis Horwood, Chicester, 12-21. Fischer, R. and G. Malle: 1985, Mensch und Mathematik, Bibliographisches Institut, Mannheim. : 1975, The Intuitive Sources of Probabilistic Thinking in Children, Reidel, Dordrecht. : 1977, 'wage and Concept in Learning Mathematics', Educational Studies in Mathematics 8, 153-165. 26 R. Kapadia and M. : 1987, Intuition in Science and Mathematics. An Educational Approach, Reidel, Dordrecht.

90) summarizes the frequentist position as follows: (1) In many important cases relative frequencies appear to converge or stabilize when one sufficiently repeats a random experiment. 40 (2) M. -J. Bentz and R. Kapadia Apparent convergence of relative frequency is an empirical fact and a striking instance of order in chaos. (3) The apparent convergence suggests the hypothesis of convergence and thereby that we may extrapolate from observed relative frequency to the relative frequency of outcomes in as yet unperformed trials of an experiment.

A. Fisher's maximum likelihood principle. Bayes (1763) derived what we now call a distribution for the unknown parameter p in a Bernoulli series based on relative frequencies kin from which he could calculate interval estimates for p. This is not to be confused with classical confidence intervals as the unknown parameter p is now a random variable which has its own probability distribution before and after the sample is drawn. In his apparatus for simulating the Bernoulli series, the initial uniform distribution of p on the interval (0,1) was apparent.

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Chance Encounters: Probability in Education by Ramesh Kapadia, Manfred Borovcnik (auth.), Ramesh Kapadia, Manfred Borovcnik (eds.)

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