Download e-book for iPad: The Price of the Euro by Jonas Ljungberg (eds.)

By Jonas Ljungberg (eds.)

ISBN-10: 0230523803

ISBN-13: 9780230523807

ISBN-10: 1349517542

ISBN-13: 9781349517541

ISBN-10: 1403934975

ISBN-13: 9781403934970

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Example text

However, with a fixed exchange rate the constraints are much more severe. That is also the motivation for the present hard currency policy of the ECB but both Vaubel and Ohr see a danger that a weakening of this position will expose even the euro to vicious capital movements. Trust in the euro and the ECB will then erode, the more so if new members adopt the euro and the disparities within the eurozone grow. This will increase pressure on the whole eurozone, with demands for higher interest rates from financial markets, and that will be a threat for the sustainability of the euro.

However, the calculation is simplistic since some effects are difficult to quantify. For example, ‘currency speculation’ has been denoted with question marks because such events are hard to predict due to, for example, policy decisions. 1. For example, chapters in this book discuss problems such as the deflationary pressure that the euro would impose on Sweden (Vaubel), the difficulties of performing economic policy (Jespersen, Forder, Foreman-Peck) and the risks of a crisis of the EMU (Klamer, Ohr).

Lysande utsikter om euron införs’, news article in Dagens Nyheter, 3 June 2003. ECB, Annual Report 2002, p. 226. Data about the Riksbanken from its Annual Reports. Göran Persson in speeches and debates 1997, according to Sydsvenska Dagbladet, 6 July 2003. Ådahl and Eklund, Allt om EMU, p. 82. Reuters, 30 June 2003. Towards the end of the electoral campaign the exchange rate came into focus through a remarkable twist: Prime Minister Persson said the adoption of the euro might be delayed even with a ‘Yes’, if when negotiating the exchange rate Sweden would be given an ‘impudent offer’, according to Aftonbladet, 30 August 2003.

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The Price of the Euro by Jonas Ljungberg (eds.)


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